Value, small-cap funds outperform in Q1 as U.S. inflation worries rise

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NEW YORK (Reuters) – The Biden administration’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan and expectations of rising inflation helped bolster the performance of fund managers who made bets on economically-sensitive cyclical or small-cap companies in the first quarter of the year, Morningstar data showed.

FILE PHOTO: A man points a computer screen showing stock information in this illustration photo taken in Bordeaux, France, France, March 30, 2016. REUTERS/Regis Duvignau/File Photo

At the same time, fund managers who remained heavily-invested in giant technology companies and high-growth stocks that had outperformed during the pandemic floundered.

The gap in performance was pronounced, with the average large-cap value fund gaining 11.4% for the quarter while the average large-cap growth fund rose 2.2% over the same time, according to Morningstar.

The Kinetic Small-Cap Opportunities fund notched the best overall performance among actively managed U.S. equity funds with a 52.5% gain for the year through March 24, according to Morningstar. Among fixed income funds, the Virtus InfraCap US Preferred Stock logged the best overall performance with a 9.1% gain over the same time period.

Overall, active U.S. equity funds returned an average of 7% through March 24, with large cap funds returning an average of 5% while small-cap funds gained an average of 11.7%, according to Morningstar.

The benchmark S&P 500 is up 8.2% for the year to date.

“The more value-oriented, more economically-titled portfolios tended to do better in the first quarter,” said Todd Rosenbluth, director of mutual fund research at New York-based CFRA. “If interest rates remain range bound that bodes well for the future. But if we see rising interest rates that could slow the economy, which would benefit the larger cap strategies.”

Expectations of an economic boom in the United States have pushed inflation expectations have risen to their highest levels since 2014. Rising inflation could weigh on the economy by increasing debt rates for companies and consumers.

Bond yields, meanwhile, rose to their pre-pandemic highs during the first quarter, with benchmark 10 year Treasuries rising to nearly 1.75%.

That surge weighed on tech companies, many of which are valued more on their future earnings than current profits, and prompted investors to seek out companies such as financials that benefit from higher interest rates.

The ARKK Innovation ETF, run by star stock picker Cathie Wood, fell more than 10.7% during the quarter in a performance that left it in the worst 1 percentile of funds in its category, according to Morningstar. Among its top holdings are automaker Tesla Inc and streaming platform Roku Inc.

Despite that underperformance, the fund brought in nearly $5.5 billion in new funds so far this year, an inflow greater than any other actively-managed equity fund.

ARK did not respond to a request to comment.

Reporting by David Randall; Editing by Marguerita Choy