The Key to a Stronger Economy? It’s Housing, Stupid.

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Just before Inauguration Day, inflation data showed that the so-called shelter index—costs, including rent, mortgage payments, insurance, and utilities, that make up the biggest part of inflation—had risen for the 56th consecutive month. Mortgage rates are now just below 7 percent, even with Fed rate cuts, and forecasts show mortgage rates staying above 6 percent through at least 2026.

Americans have made no secret of their anger over escalating costs, but this frustration is about more than just the price of eggs. More than 70 percent are identifying housing costs as a major concern. Unlike groceries or gas, housing isn’t something you can simply buy less of when prices rise; rent and mortgage payments hit every month, and for millions of us, there’s no escape hatch.

In response, the electorate has voted the incumbent party out of the White House three elections in a row—the first time in well over a century. Democrats and Republicans would do well, then, to embrace transformative, specific housing solutions if they want to have any chance of holding or winning power.

And although it can feel as if every part of the government is in a constant state of gridlock (especially now), policymakers across the U.S. have made strides in responding to the housing crisis. The housing provisions of President Joe Biden’s original “Build Back Better” proposals were negotiated out of the final deal, and his Department of Housing and Urban Development and other agencies worked to pull any levers they could to expand the number of affordable homes. Those efforts were crucial in incentivizing zoning reforms and creatively channeling more funds to state and local levels.

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When it comes to the second Trump administration, HUD Secretary Scott Turner reckoned with the urgency of the crisis at his confirmation hearing, calling for an all-of-the-above approach to housing. And one of the president’s many Inauguration Day executive orders—a whole-of-government promise to seek new ways to drive down costs, specifically calling out the housing affordability crisis that afflicts nearly every community in the country—urges the government to increase housing supply and bring down housing costs.

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But what we need is a specific game plan, and one that grapples with the enormity of what has become a crisis in every state and territory in this country, from big cities to rural tracts and everywhere in between.

Indeed, it’s likely the enormity of the problem that makes a grand strategy difficult to articulate. Thousands of factors go into the creation and preservation of housing, from local market forces to regulations to supply and labor costs and so much more. Rather than one housing “system,” we have thousands, with local, state, regional, and federal players all having a hand in how we affordably and safely accommodate more than 130 million American households.

Still, despite the patchwork nature of this system, we know that there are proven ways to drive up housing supply and unleash the kind of economic transformation Donald Trump has promised.

First, we have to strengthen and expand our nation’s No. 1 mechanism for building and preserving homes: the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit. Established more than three decades ago, the program has yielded 4 million affordable homes, serving well over 9 million families and supporting millions of well-paying local jobs—all without a complex federal bureaucracy that puts decisionmaking at the state and local levels. As part of Congress’ tax reform agenda, expanding the credit would be an easy win, putting new energy and resources into the housing market without raising deficits.

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Second, at all levels of government, we must loosen regulations that are stymieing the construction and preservation of affordable homes. Already, from Florida to Minnesota to Montana, mayors, governors, and state legislators have relaxed land-use restrictions and other ordinances, repurposed underused property to create new affordable homes, and rezoned land to make walkable, transit-friendly neighborhoods available to all. In the wake of the horrific L.A. wildfires, we’re seeing California lawmakers look to streamline housing production and cut red tape to ensure affordability as the region recovers.

Third, Democrats and Republicans should use the affordability crisis as a point of comity. When one of us (Shaun) worked as HUD secretary under President Barack Obama, he worked alongside Sen. Susan Collins to address the crisis of homeless veterans, a proud career moment. Through unyielding work together, veteran homelessness is down more than 50 percent over the past 15 years. There’s a consensus among not just policymakers but advocates, CEOs, faith leaders, and community partners that we have to end the affordability crisis. It can and has been done.

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Lastly, Trump—who knows the real estate market well—can unleash bold action by leaning into policy proposals when there’s firm bipartisan support and a proven track record of success, like providing permanent supportive housing for those experiencing homelessness. He’d do well to stay away from the kinds of policies that would only further destabilize labor and supply costs and drive more families into poverty.

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We’ve seen just how quickly our national politics can devolve, with leaders from both parties preying on our differences and distorting commonsense proposals into daggers to wield against each other. But housing is a place where American families can’t afford a street fight. If we can rally around the solutions we know work, we can make homes affordable for millions of U.S. families. Republicans and Democrats can take the win.

Shaun Donovan served as HUD secretary and OMB director under President Obama and is CEO and president of Enterprise Community Partners.

Rick Lazio served four terms in Congress representing the state of New York, is a former Republican Chairman of the Housing Subcommittee, and is currently board chair of Enterprise Community Partners.