Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slide on threat to Fed as DOJ begins criminal probe of Powell

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US stock futures sank on Monday, pulling back from records amid concerns over Federal Reserve independence after US prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into its Chair Jerome Powell.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) sank 0.7%, while S&P 500 futures (ES=F) fell 0.6%. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) led the way lower, dropping roughly 0.9% on the heels of all-time closing highs for Wall Street stocks.

Rattled markets are turning their backs on US assets after Powell said the Justice Department has subpoenaed the Fed, threatening criminal charges over his testimony on building renovations. In a strongly worded statement, Powell said the action is a escalation of President Trump’s campaign to pressure the Fed into cutting interest rates.

“The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President,” Powell wrote, describing as “pretexts” the concerns cited in the subpoenas.

Powell’s combative response and the DOJ moves promise to turn an already high-stakes White House-Fed struggle into open war. That has reinforced concerns over political interference in monetary policy, worries that helped send gold (GC=F) to fresh record peaks and to push the dollar (DX-Y.NYB) to its lowest level in three weeks.

The turbulence comes as investors get ready for this week’s updates on inflation in December, with the consumer inflation reading due on Tuesday. Markets were overwhelmingly pricing in no rate cut from the Fed this month after Friday’s December jobs report showed continued cooling in the labor market without signaling a sharp economic slowdown.

Meanwhile, Wall Street kept a watchful eye on Iran, as public unrest edges the country toward revolution and Trump says the US is “looking” at military action as a response to a crackdown on protests. Oil prices retreated as investors weighed the potential impact on crude supply.

Geopolitical developments elsewhere remain a wildcard. The US has escalated pressure on Cuba over Venezuelan oil shipments, while Greenland is still in focus after Trump last week said the US could pursue control of the Danish territory “whether they like it or not.”

In corporates, bank and other financial services stocks slumped thanks to a warning to credit card issuers from Trump. Lenders will be “in violation of the law” if they don’t cap interest rates at 10%, he told reporters on Sunday. Shares of Capital One (COF) slid 10% to lead premarket losses, while Citi (C) and JPMorgan (JPM) also fell in a downbeat start to a week where big US banks will kick off earnings season.

LIVE 10 updates

  • Good morning. Here’s what’s happening today.

  • Big banks kick off earnings, inflation data to test rate-cut bets: What to watch this week

    Yahoo Finance’s Jake Conley and Myles Udland lay out the key events in the week ahead:

    Read more here.

  • Premarket trending tickers: Walmart, Affirm, and American Airlines

    Walmart (WMT) stock rose 3% before the bell on Monday. The retailer announced over the weekend that it plans to launch more drones this year, making deliveries by sky for millions of US shoppers.

    Affirm Holdings (AFRM) stock climbed 4% before the bell on Monday. The Buy Now Pay Later company received some attention from Citi (C) analysts on Friday, who reiterated their Buy ratings on Affirm, alongside Klarna (KLAR) and Block (XYZ).

    American Airlines’ (AAL) stock fell 3% during premarket trading. In a report released on Friday, analysts at Barclays (BCS) maintained a Hold rating on American Airlines, with a price target of $16.00.

  • Sun Country jumps after Allegiant set to acquire budget airline for $1.5B

    Sun Country Airlines (SNCY) stock rose 17% before the bell on Monday after Allegiant Travel (ALGT) agreed to purchase the budget airline in a cash and stock deal valuing Sun Country at about $1.5 billion, including $400 million in debt.

    MT Newswire reports:

    Read more here.

  • Capital One shares fall after Trump calls for cap on credit card rates

    Credit card companies, Capital One (COF) and American Express (AXP) stocks fell 8% and 4%, respectively, during premarket trading on Monday following President Trump’s comments that credit-card lenders would be in “violation of the law” if they don’t cap interest rates at 10% for one year.

    Trump spoke to reporters on Air Force One as he returned to Washington from Florida and reinforced his demand that credit card companies should lower interest rates and keep them at 10% for one year. Trump has set a January 20 deadline for compliance.

    Bloomberg News reports:

    Read more here.

  • Dollar drops by most in 3 weeks as Fed gets subpoenas

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Analyst reactions to DOJ investigation into Powell

    Reuters sourced the following comments from analysts and investors about the Trump administration’s move against Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell:

    VISHNU VARATHAN, HEAD OF ⁠MACRO RESEARCH, ASIA EX-JAPAN, ‌MIZUHO, SINGAPORE

    “The Fed independence question is now well and alive and maybe subject to re-evaluation every few meetings.

    “I think ‍I’m still not sure how sustained and adversarial the attack on the Fed might be. There could be a scenario where Trump could still appoint someone with ​some credibility and allow this person to run the show – so ‌that’s probably why markets aren’t panicking as yet.”

    ANDREW LILLEY, CHIEF RATES STRATEGIST AT BARRENJOEY, SYDNEY

    “Trump is pulling at the loose threads of central bank independence. I don’t even believe that he expects that Chair Powell will be charged… The only reason that he’s taking these steps is that ⁠he knows that he’s not going to ​take control of the Fed, so he ​wants to exert as much undue pressure as he can.

    “It is not good. Don’t get me wrong, but I think ‍it will amount to ⁠nothing. Investors won’t be happy about it, but it shows actually Trump has no other levers to pull. The cash rate ⁠will stay what the majority of the FOMC wants them to be.”

  • Gold reaches record high as Fed independence comes into focus

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Jerome Powell announces the DOJ has subpoenaed the Federal Reserve

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Trump says he may keep ExxonMobil out of Venezuela over personal feelings on CEO comments

    Associated Press reports:

    Read more here.